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> The bottom line is, when something bad happens, measures should be taken to
> prevent it from happening again, regardless of 'past' probability. Waiting
> for a trend is irresponsible.
An interesting book I'm reading (The Black Swan) claims that the things
that we don't anticipate, and so are not prepared for, are the ones that
have really far reaching effects when they happen. IOW, using the normal
curve (to guide preparedness toward the things most likely to happen) is
folly. More resources need to be directed into the science of
understanding the unforeseeable!
I'd like to be a fly on the wall when the statisticians and the
scientists reach the compromise of hiring a fall gu... I mean, tech
writer, to document the new strategy for preparedness.
Ned Bedinger
doc -at- edwordsmith -dot- com
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